Commodity Update -April 27th

The commodity markets overall have given up some ground recently, though we still see strength in the Energy complex, and we continue to see higher Rice prices (Costco and Sams Club announced last week that they were limiting customer purchases of bulk rice).

Wheat prices have pulled back significantly from the $13 level in March to around $8.00 last Friday. Corn topped out at $6 in April and is pulling back a little here, though the weather conditions for planting is still an unknown factor. Soybeans is also pulling back from the March high of around $15.50.

Sugar prices are also dropping, and may be basing out in this area (or heading back down to the .10c area). Cotton and Coffee have also dropped from their recent high.

Oil seems to be holding up in the $120 area, while Natural Gas is rising past the $11 mark. Gasoline is higher, and Heating Oil (diesel) seems to be consolidating at the $3.30 level.

Gold still looks like it wants to drop back to the mid $800 area. Copper is holding the high we saw in early March near $4.

Bonds
The 10 yr Note and the 30 yr Bond continue to fall quite a bit (yields rising, inflation worries).

The Euro might have topped out for now around $1.60, while the British Pound appears to be stuck in a trading range just under $2. The US dollar continues to gain against the Yen since the March 16th low. The US Dollar Index also gained some ground this past week.

Stocks are still inching higher, as we continue to see some volatility with earnings reports coming in, and the much awaited Fed decision on interest rates due next week. See my Stock Market Blog for more details.

Note: Charts are 'live' so comments above refer to the appropriate time on the chart.

News Stories:
Food Costs Rising Fastest in 17 Years
World's food crisis deepens
Vietnam limits rice exports on food security concerns
Brazil Halts Rice Exports to Ensure Domestic Supply
Brazil Ethanol Consumption Overtakes Gasoline
World Bank tackles food emergency
Wheat prices down 40% from peak

Commodity Update -April 7th

The commodity markets have turned around since March 23rd and seem to be heading back up again, with strength in the Energy complex, Copper, and Corn; also with help from the weak US Dollar.



Grains
Wheat prices continue to fall and may find support in the $8-$9 area; we are still tight on supplies. Corn continues in a new uptrend (after a pullback in March), based on the lower acreage data from the crop planting report. We could see even higher prices if the weather doesn't co-operate. Soybeans sold off a bit based on that same report, with increased acreage planting reported.

Softs
Sugar seems to be basing out in this area after dropping from its high in early March. Likewise for Cotton and Coffee.

Oil is heading back to the $110 area, while Natural Gas is also heading back up to the previous high we saw in March. Likewise for Gasoline and Heating Oil (diesel) -bad news for the truckers.

Gold looks like it wants to drop to the mid $800 area. We also saw a pullback in Silver. Copper is heading back up to the previous high we saw in early March.

Bonds
The 10 yr Note and the 30 yr Bond are starting to fall (yields rising).

The Euro seems to be heading higher again as the US Dollar falls, while the British Pound appears to be weakening. The Yen also lost some ground. The US Dollar seems to be consolidating here in a trading range.

Stocks have been inching higher, though we continue to see some volatility. See my Stock Market Blog for more details.

Note: Charts are 'live' so comments above refer to the appropriate time on the chart.

News Stories:
Examining the USDA Crop Report
Corn futures rise on farming forecast
Corn hits $6 a bushel on tight supplies
Soybeans Lock Limit Down on March 31 USDA crop report
How safe are our Canadian banks?